ALGERIAN JOURNAL OF PROSPECTIVE AND STRATEGIC STUDIES Vol. 01, N ° 01, JAN. - MARCH 2016

Prospective of economy in Algeria: 2010-2030 some preliminary results

Rafik BOUKLIA-HASSANE

This paper studies the feasibility of a speed growth, in 2030, of the national economy, outside hydrocarbons. He examines the necessary structural economic changes and the required investment for these changes. It shows, through simulations, that the speed economy diversification is facing, due to unfavorable initial conditions, a sustainable problem of internal and external debt. The postponement of economic reforms accentuates this situation of the Algerian economy 'block'.

 

International oil and gas scene: uncertainties, issues and challenges for Algeria

Dr Mourad PREURE

The author explains the changes in the world hydrocarbons industry and their impact on Algeria. He focuses on some hypothesis about immediate future progress in medium and long term. He also points out the major balances, heavy trends, and actors’ game by briefly examining recent developments at the oil market and trying to put some hypothesis about the expected developments in near future, medium and long term. He then discusses the gas industry and more especially the European gas scene, the natural market of Algeria as well as asking, at the end, some questions about the impact of this crisis on Algeria, its potential and challenges with which it is confronted.

 

Determinants and obstacles of internationalizing Algerian family Small and Medium Sized enterprises SMEs.

Ms. MOUMOU Ouerdia wife Bellahcene

Family firms constitute a large majority in the world. In Europe, the percentage of family firms is estimated at 60 to 93%. In Australia, three-quarters of firms are owned by families. However, USA is undoubtedly in the head of the list with 93% of family firms. In Algeria, despite the fact that no studies have been done and the inexistence of reliable statistics, officials and experts agree that family firms dominate the Algerian private economic activity. These Small and Medium Sized enterprises progress in a particular turbulent environment, especially because of a still incomplete transition and a prompt integration to the world economy. This communication aims at a general objective, that is to say, explaining the organizational and entrepreneurial challenges of internationalizing the Algerian family firms by identifying factors significantly influence on their growth, as well as asking questions about possible policy options for family SMEs face to the globalization’s threat. In other words, we will study determinants and various obstacles facing the Algerian family SMEs growth.

 

Ethics and sustainable development: some elements of assessment

Ali Bentabet

The present reflection tries an incursion to a recent field which is less explored by the area of economic way, for lack of a real referent, observable in most economies, including that of the southern part, of emerging countries or the ones looking for emergence. The introduction of a non-financial filter to assess an investment strategy, arousing no interest, shares undoubtedly a part of responsibility. Also, shall you notice some destitution in terms of available data and specialized works in ethic equation and sustainable development, especially in developing countries? However, the question of ethics, in a sustainable development problematic and the requirement of good governance, deserves debate.

 

National system of information: Protection issues and procedural challenges face to globalization’s requirements.

Mohamed Bounaama

Public law’s legal entity, the State owns a historical existence, structural and functional seat made throughout history. It embodies, in this sense, the predominance of a regulator and tutelary role in protecting and managing information security aspects. Thus, information reflect the system base and the dominant characteristics of the state structures functioning. The issue, of preserving the traceability of institutions’ acts or even the dimensional entity included under the term "information", needs to be managed in synergy with the state administrative, strategic and political strategy, inducing both endogenous and exogenous factors related to dividends in the experiences capitalization. The study’s theme is outlined through the prism "protection" within the framework of a definitional approach that mentions main actions and measures fixing correlation method / practice, which tends to put forward a national strategy of preserving the one of sovereignty attributes.

 

The issue of social transfer in Algeria: Between maintaining social peace and financing constraints

Nourredine Baghdad Chaib et Menaguer

Despite the fact that enormous financial means have been, though social transfers, ensured, The concept of economic well-being is far from taking an end in Algeria, this fact creates many questions about the good foundations of a such step when the most developed economies insist on greater rationality in public expenditure management. The Algerian state, for supporting subsidies financing, aids, other supports, seems contenting with hydrocarbon revenues without measuring the seriousness and sensitivity of financing social transfers in unfavorable context and situation as is the case in recent months, by wishing that this bad time would not last too long, and that the impact on the citizens’ social aspects compensate the benefit lack in the country. Social transfers require the fulfillment of leaders’ promised commitments, even in complicated, difficult and delicate times, as the citizen is intransigent concerning social issues such as price subsidies, access to housing, drinking water, electricity, gas, health, education, that induce to more pressure and a heavy responsibility on economic policy makers who find themselves in a dilemma and a serious problem such: how to live up to the numerous, various and demanding expectations of citizens, when the expected revenues are below to what was expected and desired? Therefore, the whole problematic of social transfers, in Algeria, is defined on two factors: 1. the unlimited dependence on oil revenues, with a diversification strategy out of hydrocarbons. 2. The weight of informal economy seeming to the one that benefits most from distribution and social transfers targeting.